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Bitcoin’s four-year cycle at crossroads: Is the halving rally dead?

Bitcoin’s price remains stable above 87,000 USD, raising questions about its four-year cycle after only a modest gain post-April 2024 halving. Analysts suggest that evolving market dynamics may undermine the traditional predictability of Bitcoin’s behavior.

Recent developments, including President Trump’s Strategic Bitcoin Reserve announcement, and increasing regulatory oversight have contributed to heightened market uncertainties. Institutional adoption is shaping Bitcoin’s demand post-halving, diverging from past trends.

Despite the weaker performance following the halving, some analysts predict a potential late rally in Bitcoin prices extending into late 2025, seeing patterns reminiscent of previous cycles, although significant caution remains warranted.

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