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Fed Releases 2025 bank stress test scenarios

The Federal Reserve is set to conduct stress tests for big banks in 2025, focusing on potential risks in the real estate market and impacts from the non-bank sector. These tests will assess how large banks manage severe economic downturns, including the failure of significant counterparties.

In the projected scenarios, unemployment in the U.S. Could reach 10%, alongside a 33% fall in residential property prices and a 30% drop in commercial real estate values. This aims to provide a clearer view into the resilience of the banking sector.

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