Currently, 39% of participants on Polymarket believe the U.S. May face a recession this year. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve remains low at 3%, with 97% expecting rates to stay the same.

Gas prices have reached a low of 3.03 USD per gallon, the lowest for March since 2021. In contrast to the official CPI at 3%, the Truflation index presents a lower inflation rate of 1.35%, indicating potential economic resilience.